Our 1Q26 Fundamentals Forecast Performance
By Big Data Federation, Inc.
Our Financial AI® generated forecasts for key fundamentals across almost 1,500 companies in various industries.
Nearly one-quarter of our forecasts received a high-confidence rating. From these, our revenue projections achieved an average absolute percentage error of 3.4%, outperforming the analysts' consensus error rate of 4.4%. In addition, our models excelled at forecasting revenue beats, achieving an impressive 83.7% accuracy rate.
| Category | # of Forecasted Tickers1 | # of Forecasted Tickers w/ High Confidence2 | Absolute Forecast Error for High Confidence Tickers3 | Absolute Forecast Error for Consensus4 | Forecast Accuracy Edge Delivered5 | Revenue Beat Forecast Precision6 |
| Overall | 1476 | 352 | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 83.7% |
| Large Cap | 659 | 176 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 86.7% |
| Mid Cap | 452 | 108 | 3.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 85.2% |
| Small Cap | 361 | 67 | 4.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 74.2% |
Our Financial AI® delivers forecasts from the company level — including non-GAAP gross income, EBITDA, operating metrics, and product segments — to aggregated sectors and indices. Our models employ over 1,400 high-quality, publicly available data sources like SEC filings, government agencies, and industry associations. Using our Financial AI®’s agent, users can query forecasts and drill into key drivers shaped by complex ecosystems of extensive supply chains, global end markets, and diverse product mixes.
Paired with our chat-based modeling solution, users can instantly construct and backtest custom strategies using our proprietary forecasts and 400,000+ prebuilt indicators spanning technical, economic, and valuation metrics. Whether you're building long/short equity baskets, macro overlays, options trades, or complex multi-asset portfolios across 5,000+ stocks, 3,000 ETFs, 60 million options contracts, and all major cryptocurrencies, The Financial AI® turns insight into action — faster than ever.
To gain access, please contact us at sales@thefinancial.ai.
1Total number of tickers with revenue forecasts generated by our Financial AI®
2Number of tickers with revenue forecasts that exceeded our high confidence thresholds
3Average absolute percent error for our revenue forecast compared to companies’ actual revenue for high confidence companies.
4Analysts’ average absolute percent error for revenue consensus compared to companies’ actual revenue for high confidence companies.
5Accuracy advantage/edge average delivered by our Financial AI® compared to analysts’ consensus for revenue in absolute terms.
6Percentage of occurrences when our revenue forecasts were above consensus and actual reported revenues were also above consensus (revenue beat)
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