Our 1Q25 Fundamentals Forecast Performance
By Big Data Federation, Inc.
Our Financial AI® machines generated forecasts for various crucial fundamental metrics for nearly 1,4000 companies of different sizes last quarter.
Over one-tenth of our forecasts received a high-confidence designation. Within this group, selected via historical error evaluation, our revenue forecast exhibited an average absolute percent error of 1.9%, outperforming the analysts’ consensus, which registered an error rate of 3.3%. Furthermore, our algorithms displayed exceptional exactitude in forecasting revenue beats (89.2%).
| Category | # of Forecasted Tickers1 | # of Forecasted Tickers w/ High Confidence2 | Absolute Forecast Error for High Confidence Tickers3 | Absolute Forecast Error for Consensus4 | Forecast Accuracy Edge Delivered5 | Revenue Beat Forecast Precision6 |
| Overall | 1392 | 173 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 89.2% |
| Large Cap | 553 | 92 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 92.1% |
| Mid Cap | 454 | 52 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 83.7% |
| Small Cap | 385 | 29 | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 89.3% |
Our Financial AI® delivers forecasts from the company level — including non-GAAP gross income, EBITDA, operating metrics, and product segments — to aggregated sectors and indices. Our models employ over 1,400 high-quality, publicly available data sources like SEC filings, government agencies, and industry associations. Using our Financial AI®’s agent, users can query forecasts and drill into key drivers shaped by complex ecosystems of extensive supply chains, global end markets, and diverse product mixes.
Paired with our chat-based modeling solution, users can instantly construct and backtest custom strategies using our proprietary forecasts and 400,000+ prebuilt indicators spanning technical, economic, and valuation metrics. Whether you're building long/short equity baskets, macro overlays, options trades, or complex multi-asset portfolios across 5,000+ stocks, 3,000 ETFs, 60 million options contracts, and all major cryptocurrencies, The Financial AI® turns insight into action — faster than ever.
To gain access, please contact us at financialai@bigdatafed.com.
1Total number of tickers with revenue forecasts generated by our Financial AI
2Number of tickers with revenue forecasts that exceeded our high confidence thresholds
3Average absolute percent error for our revenue forecast compared to companies’ actual revenue for high confidence companies.
4Analysts’ average absolute percent error for revenue consensus compared to companies’ actual revenue for high confidence companies.
5Accuracy advantage/edge average delivered by our Financial AI® compared to analysts’ consensus for revenue in absolute terms.
6Percentage of occurrences when our revenue forecasts were above consensus and actual reported revenues were also above consensus (revenue beat)
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